Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DIA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.440291 0.488370 0.541492 0.604906 0.679027 0.763519 0.867978
2025-02-02 0.383730 0.444712 0.516406 0.608029 0.723653 0.867025 1.062020
2025-02-09 0.339951 0.406904 0.489362 0.600443 0.749498 0.947751 1.240833
2025-02-16 0.310538 0.381862 0.473223 0.602065 0.784715 1.043956 1.459379
2025-02-23 0.279515 0.350794 0.444881 0.582395 0.786102 1.091145 1.614962
2025-03-02 0.252290 0.321833 0.415881 0.557429 0.774975 1.116083 1.738929
2025-03-09 0.238298 0.309354 0.407998 0.561329 0.806915 1.212901 2.010387
2025-03-16 0.230839 0.305078 0.410962 0.581202 0.866193 1.365553 2.432065
2025-03-23 0.221481 0.297153 0.407582 0.590383 0.908549 1.496212 2.854435
2025-03-30 0.211684 0.287728 0.400935 0.593218 0.939802 1.611809 3.287029
2025-04-06 0.201450 0.276859 0.391048 0.589362 0.957978 1.704606 3.701943
2025-04-13 0.187555 0.259544 0.369723 0.563780 0.931654 1.698277 3.848566
2025-04-20 0.180804 0.253107 0.365772 0.569010 0.967580 1.840747 4.509939
2025-04-27 0.174853 0.247503 0.362686 0.575379 1.006782 2.001225 5.332703
2025-05-04 0.167312 0.238898 0.353956 0.570416 1.021600 2.106432 6.040189
2025-05-11 0.161768 0.233153 0.349599 0.573172 1.053481 2.264815 7.088294
2025-05-18 0.153230 0.222069 0.335348 0.555497 1.037153 2.288087 7.576300
2025-05-25 0.144457 0.210192 0.319052 0.532495 1.005784 2.262160 7.821869
2025-06-01 0.140594 0.206252 0.316411 0.536399 1.038073 2.433186 9.261770
2025-06-08 0.139243 0.206399 0.320962 0.555210 1.109374 2.749829 12.022625
2025-06-15 0.136472 0.203974 0.320677 0.563921 1.157066 3.008590 14.937547
2025-06-22 0.133039 0.200234 0.317722 0.566638 1.189705 3.228161 18.085160
2025-06-29 0.128986 0.195226 0.312107 0.563051 1.204885 3.389392 21.160410